Graita (Jawa Kuno / Kawi) — The What-If Machine for Human Behavior

Simulate every decision at scale before you ship

Prediction tells one type of future from historical patterns. True simulation lets you test what hasn't happened yet — showing how and why customers, employees, or populations respond to new products, prices, campaigns, and policies.

What could you simulate?

Explore how behavioral simulation informs consequential decisions across your industry.

High confidence · TVD 0.052Cohort: Adults 21–34 who buy ready-to-drink beverages
Run this scenario →

Which combination of flavor, packaging, and price would get customers to try our next beverage?

Citrus Yuzu, slim can 250ml, Rp 16.50047%
Mixed Berry, bottle 300ml, Rp 19.50031%
Original Oat, multipack 4x250ml, Rp 58.00022%
Other use cases:Product conceptsPricingCampaign testing
Decision-grade threshold: TVD < 0.16
Foundational Science

Five years of foundational research in generative agents & behavioral simulation

Built on the peer-reviewed breakthroughs from Stanford CRFM & HCI that defined foundation models, social simulacra, and 1,000-person interview-grounded Digital Twins.

2021
Research

Foundation Models & Uncertainty Calibration

On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models, Stanford CRFM

Introduced the paradigm of foundation models and established rigorous distributional evaluation and uncertainty calibration as essential capabilities.

In Graita Today

Graita tags every simulation and question with a predicted Total Variation Distance (TVD < 0.16 decision-quality threshold) and confidence tier (High, Moderately High, Medium, Low).

2022
Research

Social Simulacra & Counterfactual What-If Prototyping

Social Simulacra: Creating Populated Prototypes for Social Computing Systems, UIST

Demonstrated how populated multi-agent simulations expose emergent social behaviors and second-order effects before a rule or product is shipped.

In Graita Today

Our What-If Engine turns any product, pricing, creative, or policy question into comparable scenarios and shows both what people choose and why.

2023
Research

Generative Agents: Memory, Retrieval, Reflection & Planning

Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior ('Smallville'), UIST

Pioneered the cognitive architecture combining a long-term episodic Memory Stream, weighted Recency + Importance + Relevance retrieval, and recursive reflection.

In Graita Today

Every Digital Twin preserves episodic memories across studies and propagates word-of-mouth opinions across a Small-World social graph.

2024
Research

Generative Agent Simulations of 1,000 Real People

Generative Agent Simulations of 1,000 People, Stanford CRFM & HCI

Interview-grounded agents with 4-domain Expert Reflections reproduced human responses at 85% of human self-retest accuracy and sharply reduced demographic stereotyping.

In Graita Today

Every Twin is synthesized with Psychologist, Behavioral Economist, Sociologist, and Demographer reflections plus public AI Interviewer onboarding (/i/:token).

2025
Research

Behavioral Alignment & Say-Do Gap Calibration

Finetuning LLMs for Human Behavior Prediction in Social Science Experiments, EMNLP

Training across 2.9M human responses from 210 experiments improved held-out behavioral distribution alignment by +26% and modeled the Say-Do Gap between stated survey intent and real action.

In Graita Today

Graita reports both Stated Preference (%) and Habit-Adjusted Real-World Action Rate (%) to account for status-quo inertia and switching friction.

The What & The Why

Validation comes first: combining observed behavior with deep qualitative motives

Knowing only what people did fails when conditions change; asking only what people say suffers from the Say-Do Gap. Graita constrains both together.

Zero-Sum Budgets & Say-Do Calibration

Every Digital Twin is anchored to a realistic monthly income, remaining discretionary wallet, and status-quo habit inertia — reporting both Stated Intent and Habit-Adjusted Real-World Action.

Memory Stream & 4-Expert Synthesis

Retrieves episodic memories using Stanford's weighted Recency + Importance + Cosine Relevance formula, combined with reflections from a Psychologist, Behavioral Economist, Sociologist, and Demographer.

Two-Stage Social Graph Diffusion

Round 0 captures independent reactions. Rounds 1..k propagate opinions across a Small-World social network (family, coworkers, neighbors, online mutuals) to measure word-of-mouth shifts.

TVD Confidence Model (< 0.16)

Every simulation output and survey question is scored with a predicted Total Variation Distance (TVD) and Decision-Grade probability so you know when to trust a simulation and when to run fieldwork.

Interactive Focus Groups & AI Interviewer

Select up to 6 skeptics or champions from any simulation run and open a live Focus Group room, or share a public `/i/:token` interview link with real human customers to compile them into Digital Twins.

Bring Your Own Data (CSV Import & Export)

Upload your existing CRM, loyalty, or survey spreadsheet to synthesize custom Digital Twins in seconds, and export every agent's verbatim internal monologue and answers as CSV or JSON.

REST API & Real-Time SSE

Run behavioral simulations from your application or CI pipeline

Trigger population experiments programmatically with a workspace API key (`gr_live_...`), stream agent reasoning in real time over Server-Sent Events, and export structured JSON or CSV results.

curl -X POST https://api.graita.com/v1/simulations \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer gr_live_9f8a7b6c5d4e3f2a1b0c" \
  -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{
    "cohort_id": "coh_global_id_urban",
    "title": "Credit Card Reward Structure Conjoint",
    "stimulus_type": "financial_offer",
    "stimulus_context": "Memilih struktur benefit utama kartu kredit digital untuk profesional perkotaan.",
    "enable_social_diffusion": true,
    "diffusion_rounds": 1
  }'
Transparent Pricing

Start with 2,500 free simulation credits

1 credit = 1 Digital Twin response round. Every new workspace starts with a 14-day trial and immediate access to Verified Population Panels.

Starter

$49/month
2,500 agent responses / mo

For product & growth teams testing concepts, copy, and pricing before launch.

  • Access to Indonesia Urban & SEA B2B Verified Panels
  • Custom AI Cohort Synthesizer & CSV Customer Import
  • 4-Domain Expert Reflections (Psychologist, Economist, Sociologist, Demographer)
  • 1-on-1 & Multi-Agent Virtual Focus Groups
  • CSV & JSON simulation export

Growth

Most Popular
$199/month
15,000 agent responses / mo

For research, marketing, and policy teams running multi-round social diffusion.

  • Everything in Starter, plus:
  • Two-Stage Small-World Social Graph Diffusion (word-of-mouth shift)
  • Public AI Qualitative Interviewer links (/i/:token) to clone real customers
  • TVD (< 0.16) Confidence Calibration & Say-Do Gap Modeling
  • REST API access (gr_live_...) & real-time SSE streaming

Enterprise

Custom
100,000+ agent responses / mo

Custom proprietary Digital Twin banks calibrated on your CRM & transaction data.

  • Dedicated custom population calibration & census weighting
  • Enforced workspace Passkey (WebAuthn) & TOTP 2FA
  • Dedicated concurrency pool & custom OpenRouter model endpoints
  • Invoice billing & enterprise SLA